ChaseRLewis
Noob
From playing against the top tiers I feel the matchups go like this
Jacqui
5-5
Fairly even, Kitana's mid-range pokes have more range and fans can actually be effective in the matchup. Problem really is damage and Kitana's only mixup tool is throw which Jacqui does really well against. One of the few matchups I feel Kitana wins overall in neutral against the top tiers.
Geras
4.5-5.5. Slight favor Geras, if we had TK fan in this game we would probably win as we could throw fan without worrying as much about his sand move in the neutral but as it goes we have to play a mid-range poking range where I feel we lose the damage/oki war when we mess up. If you have better fundamentals then your opponent though you'll generally win this matchup fairly often when you don't get randomed out to throw loops.
Sonya
4-6
Sonya's projectile is better than ours, her mixup is better, and her top end damage is better. She needs meter to confirm into big damage safely so you can get punishes even against good players that yolo occasionally and if you can get a life lead you can negate her zoning game plan by just planning on trades and ducking intelligently. Square wave can also punish orbital drop on reaction sometimes for a KB. Legitimately if fan was a better projectile and Kitana just had a bit more damage this would be a 5-5.
Erron Black
3-7
His mixup is stupid, his fatal blow negates your projectile game completely, stance shot negates projectile game for free, and his normals are waaaay better than they should be. Feel you can beat him in neutral, but once he gets started you could just die to low/overhead/throw guesses endlessly. Feel the biggest issue, is he doesn't always even have to play footsies due to his stupid overhead kick basically bypassing it safely, while catching neutral jump, and leading to his stupid oki pressure.
Cassie
Don't feel I've played enough good ones to say for sure. Feel like low-shot dominates the projectile game and her damage is overall better. Feel Cassie's favor, but no idea how much.
Jacqui
5-5
Fairly even, Kitana's mid-range pokes have more range and fans can actually be effective in the matchup. Problem really is damage and Kitana's only mixup tool is throw which Jacqui does really well against. One of the few matchups I feel Kitana wins overall in neutral against the top tiers.
Geras
4.5-5.5. Slight favor Geras, if we had TK fan in this game we would probably win as we could throw fan without worrying as much about his sand move in the neutral but as it goes we have to play a mid-range poking range where I feel we lose the damage/oki war when we mess up. If you have better fundamentals then your opponent though you'll generally win this matchup fairly often when you don't get randomed out to throw loops.
Sonya
4-6
Sonya's projectile is better than ours, her mixup is better, and her top end damage is better. She needs meter to confirm into big damage safely so you can get punishes even against good players that yolo occasionally and if you can get a life lead you can negate her zoning game plan by just planning on trades and ducking intelligently. Square wave can also punish orbital drop on reaction sometimes for a KB. Legitimately if fan was a better projectile and Kitana just had a bit more damage this would be a 5-5.
Erron Black
3-7
His mixup is stupid, his fatal blow negates your projectile game completely, stance shot negates projectile game for free, and his normals are waaaay better than they should be. Feel you can beat him in neutral, but once he gets started you could just die to low/overhead/throw guesses endlessly. Feel the biggest issue, is he doesn't always even have to play footsies due to his stupid overhead kick basically bypassing it safely, while catching neutral jump, and leading to his stupid oki pressure.
Cassie
Don't feel I've played enough good ones to say for sure. Feel like low-shot dominates the projectile game and her damage is overall better. Feel Cassie's favor, but no idea how much.