So I'm still sucking pretty bad with noob, mostly bc my skill level.
After watching a lot of video on Dark Sabbath, I'm starting to realize why he has so many high combo starters....it seems to me those first hits are almost intended to wiff, move noob forward, and then connect on the 2nd hit which is often a mid (or in 212 opener, a low). Those opener strings all move him forward quite a bit, which is counterintuitive to my spacing habits after playing mkx so much over the last few months.
Sorry if I'm stating the obvious. But in most of the videos of people using Noob who know what they're doing, the space control seems to always connect that mid part of the opening string, leading to your solid Noob 20-30%.