MMH has the tools to stay just outside of Bane's reach and whiff punish hard, he keep out and zone when he needs to, can get in and open Bane up when appropriate, he can plays footsies mostly outside of Bane's reach with trait, he has solid wake ups, high damage, and his mb b3 is one of the best tools any character could ask for against Bane.
Even if you're right and there's a feasible window to command grab that beats all his wake ups or there's some other oki I'm missing that slants thing more in Bane's favor I'm just not buying that it's even.
He has which tools? An air dash and no range on his normals without trait? Mediocre dashing? Teleports which can just be eaten through?
His zoning is sub-par and its not that hard to get in on as long as you aren't ramming your face into orbs. Like his zoning is pretty much a non-factor. He can't keep Bane out, but he can punish reckless Banes who don't know how to not eat an orb. Bane gets to walk in sometimes and MMH can't do much about it.
He can get in how? He doesn't have much of anything to approach with outside of being traited and he has to respect the fact that we can both outpoke him when he is out of trait and just armor through everything else.
Trait is about all he has and even then it only helps him in the neutral for a little while.
His damage is high but thats when he has a set-up that works for him, and against Bane you really shouldn't be falling into it with how amazing the backdash is as well as your options to crack him open if he tries.
His wake-ups are solid how? Solid as in blown up by everything by guessing "he might body press", or solid in the way that it all loses to lead-in charge/DP/ dead-zoned f.3?
His Mb b.3 isn't bad but you don't hear flash players writing home about their double hit b.3.
Like Bane can't go yolo. Theres a lot of matches where he can't. He has to play patient, and he has to abuse the fact that barring which MMH is gomu gomu, he loses in the neutral even harder than usual. The problem is Banes are treating this as though we are fighting someone like Raven where you NEED to go ham every single moment otherwise you won't get through. We can afford to sit back on a life-lead, we can afford to throw a poke or two when he isn't traited and we can afford to make him guess every time we sit in that sweep spot of range. I've had more MMHs burning through MB b.3s guessing against me, but their ego betrayed them. MMH is good when he has trait and Bane doesn't, which is sometimes but not often enough to skew the numbers. Otherwise, MMH has to respect Bane and the Bane has to impart a little respect back when he goes in. That being said, MMH does have the tools he does so its not hugely in Banes favor because he does have to respect him, but that little bit of patience goes a looooong way.