STRYKIE
Are ya' ready for MK11 kids?!
Hmm, okay, definitely a fair analysis, I don't think Rain punishing the vortex warrants it being in his favor though, any bad commitments on Rain's part can be punished just as hard by Scorp with no meter, I would say Scorp has it a little less risky trying to make advancements too, while it helps to have the instant teleport down, since Scorp doesn't have much reason to use meter in this matchup at footsie range he can check with EX tele and condition, while Rain's teleport might give him an inadvertent OS, I'm sure I was trying for a 2,1 mixup once and ended up punishing him with a B2, and it must've counted as an AA because it did like 36% damage (Scorp's B2 scales less on airborne opponents), even when Rain is applying pressure, Scorp can interrupt with EX Takedown, which if blocked, is safe, and doesn't have to worry about it being stuffed due to Rain's advantage on his blockstrings not being quite as intense as Cage or Kabal, and if hits cant be teched which is useful against his iffy wake-up choices.It is definitely an interesting matchup but i think rain does well against scorpion for a couple reasons. Rains major problems come from zoners getting damage on him and being able to play keep away and force rain off his footsie game. With scorpion the only thing forcing me to not sit back and play my game is hellfire. Since that is his only major tool to throw at me at distance i can simply sit back and even check you multiple times with lightning since it trades well with hellfire and beats anything else you do anyway. Up close scorpions only real answer for my pressure other than his awful pokes is his armor. If i think you are going to even try armoring out then i can cancel into jump or any number of options like adding my d3 into pressure since it makes ex spear whiff. The only thing that scares me is the vortex but if i guess right you eat 50% making you scared to go for the mixup.
Admittedly, I don't play the matchup much and I would much rather use Sektor for it, I just don't see a standout reason why it's in either's favor. Seems even.