Also, haven't seen any kind of discussion regarding Cage. I really think he outpressures her, although my only source is some matches between tylerlantern and Lord of the Fly. Any thoughts?
For what it's worth, the only Cage player I've played offline that could beat me more than 50% of the time was Dizzy. I wasn't able to play Tom Brady's Cage, but I played a few others at Raleigh.
I mean it's all about matchup experience. Can Skarlet armor out? Sure...but it's a guess to armor in the first place, and Cage can bait the EX Dash pretty well with a D3 into block during pressure. Also, his dash is fast enough that you can't always throw out down daggers and not be juggled into a nutpunch.
Cage outpressures Skarlet, hands down. His escape from her pressure is arguably better, if for no other reason than EX nutpunch leads into guaranteed jumpin. Not to mention invincibility...sorry that trumps a ~35 frame up slash.
It may be 6-4 Cage, it could also be 5-5. I'm not decided one way or another. I don't think under any circumstance could the mu be 6-4 Skarlet. Her best tool in this fight is F4,3 and Red Slide. Condition the Cage to block that and you can start nabbing free B1,1,F4 pressure or, hopefully, catch them stand-blocking with a dash into 1,1,2 or 1,1,4 (or dare I say the 5 hit string) for 20-40%+ chip damage.
Blood ball isn't terrible in this match, but still highly risky and usually not worth it.
as always, iaBD's are difficult - if you can do them, they will be helpful in out-zoning Cage...but not very.
In my opinion this mu will test your patience. F4,3 is far and away her best tool to counteract Cage. Get him into the habit of blocking you and you have a decent chance. B1,F3 might work too for some occasional hits. That's what this match is about...not typically high-hitting combos, but patience and chipping away at him, like he would gladly do to you.