KT Smith : 3d12~d1 / 3d12~d3 (or any neutral hit which smoke has many of)
Remember the jackelope video from a while ago: well i knew already that d3 was a decent option, just never sure how much better til now.
D1 (6f)= +1 on hit(stand) -1(crouch)/
-13 on block
D3 (7f)= +3 on hit(stand) +10(crouch) /
-7 on block
If your opponent knows that you poke after 3d12, or any neutral string for that matter, doing d3 instead of the standard d1 will mean if they try to counter poke 1 frame late, they will be considered crouching, and you will be on +10. If they block it you are pretty much safe.
Sort of explains why you can get a cross up after d3 and its reasonably hard to counter.
Thoughts or objections to this? Only thing i can find bad is they have 1 extra frame to counterpoke you, but if they consistantly beat your poke you can just block it anyway.