Reptile can't poke for two reasons:
1.) Slow
2.) Cage d1 pushes Reptile out of d3 range after certain strings which is possibly the best poke choice for Reptile
Wouldn't a 50/50 be a 2,1,f2 and 2,1,b4 mixup anyway? I don't think a good Cage (or a bad one for that matter) would continuously f3 you in the chest and pray for victory. The only string in my matchup experience that is extremely "punishable" and open for dash is f3,3 anyway. But if used correctly, that should be good if continued by a d3 or d1. As Cage, I want you to see a "hole" and react so I can blow you up. I'm not saying his pressure is garbage by any means but you want nutpunch resets not f3's for days, therefore, the "holes" should be purposeful 95% of the time. So go ahead and dash. If you come up for pressure you better finish because a poke in Cage's favor = Reptile in danger. His d1 is good for EX dash pressure too. You aren't forced to commit to riskier maneuvers like a KL spin or Sonya instant dive kick. That d1 is packing range so it's fairly easy to poke out. Waste of meter to break and you are battling out of pressure again. Of course you can EX nutpunch out or b3 but its hella tough against a good Reptile.
Just because you have a fast special doesn't mean its the be all end all. My normals are way better. Lack of armor too, let's not forget that.
I just don't think people realize the effectiveness of Cage's d1 in this matchup. Somebody has to back me up on this one.
Showtime can you enlighten the people on d1 or
THTB? I haven't fought THTB personally with Cage but I would assume he knows of the d1 silliness.