Some quick numbers - I've been playing Skarlet since Beta and for about 6 weeks straight now exclusively, using the teleport Variation, going to explore the other variation in the next 2 weeks deeper. I just find losing Parry and Tele way to much of a trade off in all match ups.
Posting from work so I will revisit this when I get home with thoughts on each, still feel it's early to have solid match up numbers, but these feel close in the current meta;
The numbers I feel confident in with good exp against great players offline and online: I don't remember all the variation names sorry lol
SubZero 4-6 / 4-6 (subs favor both his variations)
Jade 5-5(air glaive Variation) - 6/4 (run variation)
Scorpion 4-6 / 3-7 (reborn, might not be this bad, but feels like it lol)
Sonya 4-6 / 4-6
Noob 6-4 / ?
Erron 4-6 (scud shot, rifle out auto corrects on tele)
Jax 6-4
Kabal 4-6 / 4-6
Baraka 5-5 / ?
Shao 6-4 / 6-4
Geras 4-6 (damage being the only reason I don't think this is even)
Jacqui 6-4 / ?
Cassie 4-6 / ? (low gun)
Kitana 5-5 / 6-4 (highborn)
Cetrion 5-5/5-5
Kotal 6-4 / ??
Need more games
Liu Kang 5-5 (maybe worse need more games)
Raiden Even to 6-4 need more games
Kollector
Shang
D'vorah - feels like 6-4 need more games
Frost - Feels 6-4 need more games
Johnny - feels 6-4 need a few more games
Kano - feels like 6-4 need a few more games
Kung Lao - maybe 6-4 need a few more matches and testing a couple things