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popup, roundhouse, teleport punch - where the TP hits?!

I don't think I've done it with Human Smoke in UMK3, only Ermac. I thought maybe once it was a freak accident, hit boxes (jax), something involving that.
But I was playing against another male ninja, and four or 5 times in a row I got the teleport punch, off the roundhouse after the popup to hit "in front" of the opponent, instead of behind the opponent, which is expected behavior in this situation.

Does it have at all to do with frame advantage? I'm just trying to figure out what causes the TP to hit in the "incorrect" spot, given the situation and expected behavior. This definitely throws off some combos because I had to reverse direction to get the TKS to work.