I simply wanted to talk about the Noob matchup here, because Raiden is known as one of his more difficult match ups. A few fellow Noob players have said it is a 6-4 at this point, because Noob can punish Raiden's teleport now, especially helping the match up, which I realize you have already mentioned.
Other than that, though, it feels as though Noob most simply be patient in the match up. If Noob can punish Raiden's teleport every time (with either a throw or 212 or 12, I believe), Raiden has to force his aggression without a teleport, and this is where Noob's zoning is still effective. Upknee being a general trump card (hyperbole, I admit) against rush down, and it being difficult to teleport on reaction to Noob's shadows even from midscreen from mine and others experiences with it. Noob's teleport can also punish Raiden's lightning, but I don't know the distances. They limit eachothers games.
From my experience playing the very solid Raiden I play locally, it is not a 7-3 in Raiden's favor. It is still very manageable with patience. I wish I knew more about Noob vs. Raiden's strings, but I figured it would be interesting discussion. I'm interested in what you guys have to say about it.
Thanks.