Raiden doesn't automatically launch you if you whiff a d4. That match is literally a footsies test. You have range on him, you can read him and he does outdamage you but he's not safe and doesn't have a string he can just spam in your face until you let go of block and then KB you for half your healthbar for trying to play the game like this fuck can.
But like legit there's no reason any form of Jade beats Scorpion. I'd be willing to HUMOR Jaded being 5-5 and that's about it.
Basic logic dictates that if a character cannot play their core game and is forced to play the opponent's game without having some notable advantage to compensate a match up can't be 5-5 or in your favor.
Folks can't handle playing footsies when they don't dominate the match up free which is why there are actual Scorpion fire tears in regards to Jaded lol.